Topic: Blue state turning red (Read 11398 times) Duke David Atheist2006 Rookie Posts: 240. . Even if Republicans arent seeing their map expanding into new territory like South Texas, they can still clearly count on rural voters to hold the line against waves of new and potentially liberal voters moving into Texas major cities, said Landry, the West Texas college professor. A recent poll from Emerson College shows that a typically deep blue state may be on the verge of turning red after November. Those things are what got a lot of those voters excited, Landry said. Nobody ever talks about that. At one time we truly were the "United" States of America, but now we have been split into two opposing camps that deeply hate one another. And it was another rebuke of Democratic gubernatorial nominee Beto ORourke, who lost his third election in four years. [4] In that match-up, Harris leads Newsom 56-44%. "Texas is ready to turn blue." Democratic National Committee chairman Howard Dean 2010 "Texas Dems are presenting the biggest challenge the state's GOP has faced in decades. Admittedly, many of those 86 counties are sparsely populated. The governor outperformed previous Democratic turnout in nearly every part of the state in 2018, and over the last four years has spent countless hours traveling to every corner of Illinois to ensure everyone feels represented by his administration, campaign spokeswoman Natalie Edelstein said. The prediction was purple. Democrats have always asserted, and polls have suggested, that bigger turnout at the polls would lead to Democratic victories. Each of these 10 states is projected to shed one seat:. To truly feel the effects of a demographic change, whether its young voters or new people coming in from perhaps more liberal states, people are going to have to turn out to vote, Cross said. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election The trend of population shifts from Democratically dominated "blue" states to Republican-controlled "red" states only accelerated in the COVID-era of the past 2 years, according to census data and other information from companies like U-Haul. Countless More Americans Will Be Moving From Blue States To Red States In 2022 The Great Realignment By Michael Snyder. The trend of population migration Democratically dominated blue states to Republican-controlled red states is examined in the documentary Blue to Red: The Shifting of America airing Sunday, at 9 p.m. Eastern on Newsmax. I wont get that for nothing. Measured that way, the red nation houses slightly more of the countrys eligible voting population (45 percent versus 39 percent), but the blue nation contributes more of the total U.S. gross national product: 46 percent versus 40 percent. By Nicole Narea @nicolenarea Nov 11, 2022, 10:04am EST Experts Warn GOP War on Abortion Will Turn Red and Blue States Into 'Mutually Hostile Legal Territories' "The demise of Roe will exacerbate America's antagonisms, creating more furious legal rifts between states than we've seen in modern times." Kenny Stancil May 06, 2022 It's official: Florida is a red state The former swing state is now a lost cause for Democrats. As the Nov. 3 election approaches, debate over which way Texas will lean has led voters to question if Texas is becoming a "purple" state.Having been strictly Republican (red) since 1976 in the presidential elections, Texas now has an increasing number of Democratic (blue) voters in the prediction polls. See all customer images . Americas future is Texas. Opinions in your inbox: Get a digest of our takes on current events every day. Indiana shares this trend with. To the extent that planning to move may require at least three of those steps, not very many respondents are close to moving. Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. Posted on 2/11/20 at 9:11 am to kingbob Yes, but due to aging populations and migration patterns, states like Ohio, Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Minnesota and maybe even NH or NJ could be turning red. Most of the states we live in appear to be solidly Republican or Democrat. The rest were either undecided or preferred someone other than the top three candidates. Send questions and comments about this story to feedback@stlpublicradio.org. If we have people who are in the cities and suburbs never interacting with people with a different demographic profile, and vice versa, you have people in red areas never seeing blue voters, it just further pushes the two sides away from each other, he said, and gives them less and less common ground.. Butthe Texas I know is Black and brown, withmore than 50% of the states population being Black, Latinoor Asian. Record-breaking midterm turnout in 2018 was largely due to ORourkes run for Senate and anti-Trump mobilization among Democrats, and the turnout brought them closer to victory than in previous cycles. analysis Others might be thinking of moving to adjacent states for jobs or family. Poshard believes a combination of factors is making Democrats less appealing in areas outside Chicago and the suburbs. Later, in a survey by WBEZ, he was among only a handful of Illinois legislators who would not publicly state their vaccination status. It may be time to stop talking about red and blue America. CINCINNATI President-elect Joe Biden is the first person to win the presidency without carrying Ohio since 1960. These states continue to vote for the . The four governors are on track to win reelection even though a large share of their constituents are dissatisfied with recent economic and social trends. Lilliana Mason, a Johns Hopkins University political scientist, told me that the experience of Jim Crow segregation offers an important reference point for understanding how far red states might take this movement to roll back civil rights and libertiesnot that they literally would seek to restore segregation, but that they are comfortable with a time when states had laws so entirely different that they created a form of domestic apartheid. He is a graduate student at Harvard University, where hell commission as a U.S. Army officer. In Stock. In the meantime, a new generation of potential presidential contenders is taking shape. But because I wouldnt say anything about guns and abortion, oh, they was deathly against me, Spencer said. Now, if Glenn was to run for dog catcher against a cat, the cat would get 90% of the vote, said Spencer, who called Poshard a friend. Newsom and DeSantis have already been sparring by attacking the rival states policies. Im looking at some numbers across the country and some places have record midterm turnout, and we just didnt do it in Texas. Before Democratic Gov. Florida saw the biggest influx of new residents, some . The core question that Podhorzers analysis raises is how the United States will function with two sections that are moving so far apart. Pritzkers count greatly exceeded the four counties Democrat Pat Quinn won in his 2010 election and the lone county that lined up with him in his unsuccessful 2014 reelection. During the seven decades of legal Jim Crow segregation from the 1890s through the 1960s, the principal goal of the southern states at the core of red America was defensive: They worked tirelessly to prevent federal interference with state-sponsored segregation but did not seek to impose it on states outside the region. The drop-off was even more pronounced if Barack Obamas 2008 presidential win is a marker. The gross domestic product per person and the median household income are now both more than 25 percent greater in the blue section than in the red, according to Podhorzers calculations. A series of blue states are set to lose political power in 2020 for the 2022 midterm elections, newly released data from the Census Bureau suggests. That doesnt mean that Americans are condemned to fight one another again as they did after the 1850s. Health outcomes are diverging too. Were able to build the economy for areas like southern Illinois, where, lets face it, we want to bring population into.. Thats all theyre concerned about is guns and abortion.. The governors of the nations four largest states, California, Texas, Florida, and New York, face voters in 2022. Its hard living here.. ), Our survey asked respondents across the nation to register their early preferences for the 2024 presidential race. Financial supporters play no role in the Tribune's journalism. We settled down in southwest Houston a community filled with signs written in Chinese characters, the rhythmic sizzle of al pastor on the grills of dueling taco trucks, and the low vibration of chopped and screwed bass pulsing from car speakers. A purple state is one in which voters' support for the Democratic Party, represented by the color blue, and the Republican Party, represented by the color red, is about equal. Meanwhile, nearly half of Democrats in Florida and Texas expressed an interest in moving out of state, more than twice the number of Republicans who want to do so. The country is bifurcating, Bolling says in the film. The one South Texas congressional seat Republicans did claim, with the victory of Monica De La Cruz, was in a district drawn in 2021 to help a Republican win. Claremont, CA 91711 But then again, that is how a democracy works, he said, and Im not sure what there is to be done about it.. 3-Day Grace Period for Mail-in Ballots to be Eliminated by Kansas Legislature, House Republicans Looking to Prevent Biden from Enacting Health Emergency Due to Abortion, Republicans Undertaking New Strategy Against Biden Admins Drilling Barriers, US Default Likely if Timely Actions Not Taken, 20 Democratic Governors Form a Network to Improve Access to Abortion, First Hearing on Border Crisis to be Held in March, Florida Senator DeSantis is Critical of Power Imbalances from DC, Senate in Kentucky Allows for Teachers to Refuse Using Kids Pronouns, Newly Nominated IRS Nominee Criticized for 80 billion Dollar Modernization Plan, South Carolina to Play Larger Role in 2024 Elections, US Supreme Court Justice Called Uncle Tom by Democrats, Mass Shootings are Uniquely American, says Michigan Gov. Governors in both red and blue states have watched their approval ratings sink throughout the pandemic. He cited affordable housing and commute times as some of the driving factors. In Texas and Florida, independents are marginally adding to the incumbents lead, whereas in California and New York, disapproval from independents is not enough to overcome the Democrats large numerical advantages. That progress, though, stopped after 1980, and the gap remained roughly unchanged for the next three decades. This survey, implemented online by YouGov between October 11 and 26, 2022, included 5,060 respondents. Get the latest. In any event, our purpose is not predictive. It doesnt matter if Im in Clay County, in Louisville, Ill. Since that election, the media have . #orpol pic.twitter.com/Tdw0acrwj0, Christine Drazan (@ChristineDrazan) August 9, 2022. He also lumped Rauner into that category for abandoning an anti-abortion campaign pledge. While two points might not seem like much, that tiny difference tells a compelling story. After their expected reelections, at least two of these governorsDeSantis and Newsomare positioned to carry their states policy visions into a national competition for the presidency. [2] Despite their vastly different approaches to the pandemic, economic challenges, and cultural conflict, all of these governors will almost certainly achieve the same result: reelection. Among Democrats, California appears to be a bit more attractive than New York, and there is some interest in the red states as well. Yet, some respondents may be taking more concrete steps toward actually leaving. A lot of people downstate feel thats whats happened.. STATE OF THE ECONOMYTAKING HITS AND RUNNING UP DEFICITS. Andrew Sinclair, Ph.D. By the end of the night, the state Democratic Party had acknowledged in a press release that this was a tough cycle. But in a joint statement, party officials urged their supporters to get back in this fight starting Wednesday. The data for this survey comes from the CMC-Rose Institute Fall 2022 Poll. Red-state taxes are generally lower than their blue counterparts. Since about 2008, Podhorzer calculates, the southern states at the heart of the red nation have again fallen further behind the blue nation in per capita income. That year, during his first run for the White House, the former Illinois legislator and U.S. senator won 46 counties in his home state. Virginia remains a blue state because, all things being equal, in statewide federal races, the Democratic nominee starts off with a clear advantage. The new data for 2022 follows a similar path as 2020 and 2021s migration patterns. I would bet if you look across the Democrat Party and downstate Illinois youll find probably 50 to 60% of the precincts not even filled with committeemen, because that expectation that working in the rank-and-file of the party will result in some sort of help in getting a job isnt there anymore, he said. pandemic Weve done an awful lot for the entire state, but, especially I think working together with Republicans, we were able to create jobs. It is a multipronged, fundamentally antidemocratic movement that has built a solidifying base of institutional support through conservative media networks, evangelical churches, wealthy Republican donors, GOP elected officials, paramilitary white-nationalist groups, and a mass public following. For all respondents who expressed an interest in moving, we asked a simple follow-up question: why? Voters returned GOP incumbents to their jobs at the top of the ticket and handed the states dominant party its 14th consecutive sweep of statewide offices. On its own, the blue nation would be the worlds second-largest economy, trailing only China. But the South Texas results robbed Republicans of the hoped-for narrative that Hispanic voters were abandoning Democrats in droves. Specifically, Republicans are more likely to want to leave California and New York and more Democrats are more likely to want to leave Texas and Florida. Lower taxes, Republican legislatures, and stronger $10.70. To respond to a column, submit a comment to letters@usatoday.com. This divergence itself creates enormous strain on the countrys cohesion, but more and more even that looks like only a way station. I was born in Houston to immigrants from Hong Kong and Mexico. Yet, concerns about personal finances do not appear to be driving voting decisions in the gubernatorial races in these states. DeSantis, wrote one Democratic respondent, is crazy.. That's devastating for blue states, and could soon tip the balance of power in Congress in 2022. Dave McKinney covers Illinois politics and government for WBEZ. The path all four governors are taking to reelection is paved with partisanship. (Key moments in that revolution included the passage of the Civil Rights and Voting Rights Acts and the Supreme Court decisions striking down state bans on contraception, interracial marriage, abortion, and, much later, prohibitions against same-sex intimate relations and marriage.). JB Pritzkers successful 2018 campaign, the number of Illinois counties voting Democratic got smaller and smaller during a 20-year period. Georgia, once a strongly Republican state, has turned blue. But the gubernatorial candidate also accuses Democratic policies for contributing to homelessness in the past, especially in Portland and other major cities. Beyond determining who will occupy governors offices, these contests will shape our nations direction in the coming years. For more information, visit www.roseinstitute.org. This maxim would clearly preclude New Mexico's shift from blue to red, considering its diversity: approximately 49.3% of New Mexico's residents are Latino, while 11% are Native American. And quickly. No, not a one-time blue but normally light red like North Carolina. Thats the same kind of feeling that the Democrats have in Texas, that Democrats have in Utah, that you have a state that is not responsive to your needs. His public schedule has had a distinct downstate flavor since the summer. We refuse to throw in the towel and give up on a state as remarkable, freedom-loving, beautiful, diverse, industrious, and trailblazing as Texas, they said. I had a real good construction business going, but I seen a year ago that those days were over because Im a Democrat. Follow him@davemckinney. California lost a seat for the first time in its history. Our initial question was framed as interest in leaving, without necessarily having it be a real option. 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